FAUZI, SAMRONY EKA (2021) PERBANDINGAN ANALISIS KEBANGKRUTAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ALTMAN Z-SCORE, SPRINGATE, ZMIJEWSKI DAN GROVER PADA PERUSAHAAN TELEKOMUNIKASI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2014 - 2019. S2 thesis, Universitas Mercu Buana Jakarta.
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Abstract
This study aims to compare the best bankruptcy prediction models between Altman, Springate, Zmijewski and Grover models against companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange in the telecommunications sub-sector for the 2014-2019 period. The purposive sampling method is used to obtain a sample of companies with the following criteria: Companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange, the telecommunications sub-sector, the company has conducted an IPO in 2010, the company is obedient in reporting annual reports from 2014 - 2019 and the company is free from delisting issues. There are 4 companies that meet the purposive sampling criteria, namely PT. Telkom TBK, PT. Indosat TBK. PT. XL Axiata TBK and PT. Smartfren TBK. The data used in this research is secondary panel data. The results showed that only PT. Telkom which is in a healthy financial condition. Meanwhile, PT. Indosat, PT. XL Axiata and PT. Smartfren is consistently in an unhealthy condition based on the analysis of the Altman and Springate models. The calculation of Zmijewski's model and Grover's model gave inconsistent results. Comparative testing of the four bankruptcy analysis models resulted in the Altman, Sprigate and Grover models recording accurate results but Altman modeling is the best because it is an accurate, consistent, and tested model both descriptively and statistically. Keywords: Bankruptcy Prediction Model, Altman, Springate, Zmijewski, Grover, Telecommunication Company. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melakukan perbandingan model prediksi kebangkrutan terbaik antara model Altman, Springate, Zmijewski dan Grover terhadap perusahaan yang terdaftar pada bursa efek Indonesia sub sektor telekomunikasi periode 2014-2019. Metode purposive sampling digunakan untuk mendapatkan sampel perusahaan dengan kriteria yaitu: Perusahaan yang terdaftar pada bursa efek Indonesia sub sektor telekomunikasi, perusahaan sudah melakukan IPO pada tahun 2010, perusahaan tersebut taat melaporkan laporan keuangan kurun waktu 2014 – 2019 dan perusahaan terbebas dari isu delisting. Terdapat 4 perusahaan yang memenuhi kriteria purposive sampling tersebut, yaitu PT. Telkom TBK, PT. Indosat TBK. PT. XL Axiata TBK dan PT. Smartfren TBK. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data panel sekunder. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hanya PT. Telkom yang berada pada kondisi yang sehat. Sedangkan PT. Indosat, PT. XL Axiata dan PT. Smartfren secara konsisten berada pada kondisi yang tidak sehat berdasarkan Altman dan Springate. Perhitungan Zmijewski dan Grover memberikan hasil yang inkonsisten. Perbandingan terhadap ke-empat pemodelan analisa kebangkrutan menghasilkan Altman, Sprigate dan Grover mencatatkan hasil yang akurat namun Altman adalah yang terbaik karena merupakan pemodelan yang akurat, konsisten dan teruji baik secara deskriptif maupun statistik. Kata kunci: Model Prediksi Kebangkrutan, Altman, Springate, Zmijewski, Grover, Perusahaan Telekomunikasi.
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