NUGRAHA, ABDI (2015) ANALISIS FUNDAMENTAL DAN TEKNIKAL SAHAM UNTUK MENGETAHUI HARGA WAJAR SAHAM PT BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA (PERSERO) Tbk. S2 thesis, Universitas Mercu Buana Jakarta-Menteng.
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Abstract
This study aims to determine the intrinsic value of the shares of PT Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk. per June 30, 2014 by using five methods and results of the five methods that method to get a reasonable price stock, for Fundamental Analysis method of Rp 1,040, -, FCFE Rp 1,728, -, Relative Valuation using PER Rp 1,269, - Relative Valuation using PBV Rp 2,709, - Relative Valuation using P / S Rp 2,870, - Gordon Growth Model Rp 3.110, -, Fibonacci Technical Analysis Rp 1236.72 and After Reconciliation Value per June 30, 2014 obtained a reasonable stock price of Rp 1,741, - and obtained an upper limit of Rp 1,872, - and lower limit Rp1.611, -. This shows that the market price of the shares of the State Savings Bank (Persero) Tbk. "Undervalued" against the value of stock market prices as at 30 June 2014. The results of the calculations it is advisable for investors to buy the stock at the level of Rp 1,611, - and resell at the level of Rp 1,872, -. Keywords : Fundamental Analysis, Free Cash Flow to Equity, Assessment Reasonable Price Stocks, Techical Analysis Fibonacci. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan intrinsik value saham PT Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk. per 30 Juni 2014 dengan menggunakan lima metode dan hasil dari metode kelima metode tersebut mendapatkan harga wajar saham, untuk metode Analisis Fundamental sebesar Rp 1.040,-, FCFE sebesar Rp 1.728,-, Relative Valuation menggunakan PER sebesar Rp 1.269,- Relative Valuation menggunakan PBV sebesar Rp 2.709,- Relative Valuation menggunakan P/S sebesar Rp 2.870,- Gordon Growth Model sebesar Rp 3.110,-, Analisis Teknikal Fibonacci sebesar Rp 1.236,72 dan Setelah Rekonsiliasi Nilai per 30 Juni 2014 didapatkan harga wajar saham sebesar Rp 1.741,- dan didapatkan batas atas Rp 1.872,- dan batas bawah Rp1.611,-. Hal ini menunjukan bahwa harga pasar dari saham PT Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk. “Undervalue” terhadap nilai harga pasar saham per 30 Juni 2014. Dengan hasil perhitungan maka disarankan investor untuk melakukan buy untuk saham tersebut pada level harga Rp 1.611,- dan menjual kembali pada level harga Rp 1.872,- Kata Kunci : Analisis Fundamental, Free Cash Flow to Equity, Penilaian Harga Wajar Saham, Analisis Teknikal Fibonnaci.
| Item Type: | Thesis (S2) |
|---|---|
| Call Number CD: | CDT-551-15-021 |
| Call Number: | TM/51/15/020 |
| NIM/NIDN Creators: | 55112120214 |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Analisis Fundamental, Free Cash Flow to Equity, Penilaian Harga Wajar Saham, Analisis Teknikal Fibon, mku, manajemen keuangan |
| Subjects: | 600 Technology/Teknologi > 650 Management, Public Relations, Business and Auxiliary Service/Manajemen, Hubungan Masyarakat, Bisnis dan Ilmu yang Berkaitan > 658 General Management/Manajemen Umum |
| Divisions: | Pascasarjana > Magister Manajemen |
| Depositing User: | Admin Perpus UMB |
| Date Deposited: | 21 Feb 2015 08:24 |
| Last Modified: | 28 Jun 2022 03:53 |
| URI: | http://repository.mercubuana.ac.id/id/eprint/7532 |
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