MALAU, JEPRI (2020) ANALISIS PREDIKSI FINANCIAL DISTRESS DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ALTMAN Z-SCORE PADA PERUSAHAAN SUB SEKTOR PERKEBUNAN YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE 2011-2017. S1 thesis, Universitas Mercu Buana Jakarta.
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Abstract
This purpose of this research predicts the potensial of bankruptcy of plantation sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock based on the Altman Z-Score model in 2011 to 2017 period. The object of this research using 16 plantation sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample used was 10 companies, calculated based on the purposive judgment sampling method. The result shows in 10 companies analyzed using the Altman Z-Score method, 4 (four) companies were categorized as bankrupt because the Z score <1.1 in the last year of the research, was Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk (UNSP), Eagle High Plantations Tbk (BWPT), Gozco Plantation Tbk (GZCO), Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk (JAWA). There are 4 (four) companies that are categorized as grey area because the Z score (1.1 <Z <2.6) in last year research was Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk (SIMP), Sampoerna Agro Tbk (SGRO), Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk (SMAR), Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA). Whereas two companies were categorized as healthy because Z > 2.6 in last year's research were Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) and PP London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk (LSIP). Keywords: Bankruptcy, Altman Z-Score, financial analysis Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah memprediksi potensi kebangkrutan perusahaan sub-sektor perkebunan yang terdaftar di Bursa Indonesia berdasarkan model Altman Z-Score pada periode 2011 hingga 2017. Objek penelitian ini menggunakan 16 perusahaan sub-sektor perkebunan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Sampel yang digunakan adalah 10 perusahaan, dihitung berdasarkan metode purposive judgment sampling. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan pada 10 perusahaan yang dianalisis menggunakan metode Altman Z-Score, 4 (empat) perusahaan dikategorikan bangkrut karena skor Z <1,1 pada tahun terakhir penelitian, adalah Bakrie Sumatra Plantation Tbk (UNSP), Eagle High Plantations Tbk (BWPT), Gozco Plantation Tbk (GZCO), Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk (JAWA). Ada 4 (empat) perusahaan yang dikategorikan sebagai wilayah abu-abu karena skor Z (1,1 <Z <2,6) dalam penelitian tahun lalu adalah Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk (SIMP), Sampoerna Agro Tbk (SGRO), Sinar Mas Agro Sumber Daya dan Teknologi Tbk (SMAR), Tunas Baru Lampung Tbk (TBLA). Sedangkan dua perusahaan dikategorikan sehat karena Z> 2,6 dalam penelitian tahun lalu adalah Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) dan PP London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk (LSIP). Kata Kunci : Altman Z-Score, kebangkrutan, analisis keuangan
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