FAISAL, FIKA ANDRIANI (2021) ANALISIS PERBANDINGAN MODEL-MODEL PREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN PADA PERUSAHAAN SEKTOR PROPERTY DAN REAL ESTATE YANG TERDAFTAR DI BEI TAHUN 2017-2019. S2 thesis, Universitas Mercu Buana Jakarta.
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Abstract
This study takes the topic of comparative analysis of bankruptcy prediction models in the Property and Real Estate Sector companies listed on the IDX in 2017-2019. In this case, the test was conducted to compare the accuracy between the Altman Z-Score, Springate S-Score and Zmijewski X-Score models in predicting the bankruptcy of property and real estate companies. The sample consisted of 20 companies after the sample selection was carried out using purposive sampling technique. To obtain the right level of accuracy, a comparison of the distress or non-distress score categories of each bankruptcy model with the earnings per share (EPS) value of each company was carried out through a dummy variable. Through this test, it is known that the Zmijewski X-Score model is the most accurate model in predicting bankruptcy in the property and real estate sectors listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) by 90%. Keywords: Bankruptcy Prediction, Altman Z-Score, Springate S-Score, Zmijewski X-Score, Earnings Per Share Penelitian ini mengambil topik analisis komparatif model prediksi kebangkrutan pada perusahaan Sektor Property dan Real Estate yang terdaftar di BEI tahun 2017-2019. Dalam hal ini, pengujian dilakukan untuk membandingkan akurasi antara model Altman Z-Score, Springate S-Score dan Zmijewski X-Score dalam memprediksi kebangkrutan perusahaan property dan real estate. Sampel terdiri dari 20 perusahaan setelah pemilihan sampel dilakukan dengan menggunakan teknik purposive sampling. Untuk memperoleh tingkat akurasi yang tepat dilakukan perbandingan kategori distress atau non distress score masing-masing model kebangkrutan dengan nilai earning per share (EPS) masing-masing perusahaan melalui variabel dummy. Melalui pengujian ini diketahui bahwa model Zmijewski X-Score merupakan model yang paling akurat dalam memprediksi kebangkrutan di sektor properti dan real estate yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) sebesar 90%. Kata Kunci: Prediksi Kebangkrutan, Altman Z-Score, Springate S-Score, Zmijewski X-Score, Earnings Per Share
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