INDRIANI, RINA (2021) MODEL PREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN PERUSAHAAN JASA SEKTOR PERDAGANGAN ECERAN DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA (Studi Kasus Periode 2015 – 2017). S2 thesis, Universitas Mercu Buana Jakarta.
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Abstract
This study aims to identify the dominant causes in forming a bankruptcy prediction model of retail trade service companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the 2015-2017 period. The 2015-2017 observation period with a sample of 20 companies met the criteria as a sample. The dependent variable in this study is categorical data which is divided into two categories: unhealthy companies symbolized by the number 0 and healthy companies category symbolized by the number 1. The independent variables in this study are 20 financial ratios, among others, Current Ratio, Quick Ratio, Cash Ratio , Working Capital to Total Assets, Debt to Asset Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Time Interest Earned, Working Capital Turn Over, Fixed Asset Turn Over, Receivable Turn Over, Total Asset Turn Over, Inventory Turn Over, Cash Turn Over, Cash Profit Margin, Operating Profit Margin, Gross Profit Margin, Return On Equity, Return On Assets, Return On Investment, Earning Per Share. The analytical method used is discriminant analysis. Discriminant Test Results using the stepwise method can be obtained variables that are selected as discriminator variables, namely the variable Debt to Equity Ratio, Return On Equity, and Earning Per Share to form discriminant functions as follows: R = - 3,197 + 0.292 Debt to Equity Ratio + 0.342 Return On Equity + 0.336 Earning Per Share The cut-off value in this study is 0 with a 75% prediction accuracy in unhealthy service companies and 73.3% in healthy service companies with an accuracy rate of 76.7% in retail trade service companies. Keywords: Bankruptcy, Retail Companies, Financial Ratios, Multiple Discriminant Analysis (MDA). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi penyebab dominan dalam membentuk model prediksi kebangkrutan perusahaan jasa sektor perdagangan eceran yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode 2015 – 2017. Periode observasi 2015 – 2017 dengan sampel 20 perusahaan memenuhi kriteria sebagai sampel. Variabel dependen dalam penelitian ini merupakan data kategorik yang terbagi menjadi dua kategori yaitu perusahaan tidak sehat disimbolkan dengan angka 0 dan kategori perusahaan sehat yang disimbolkan dengan angka 1. Variabel independen dalam penelitian ini adalah 20 rasio keuangan antara lain Current Ratio, Quick Ratio, Cash Ratio, Working Capital to Total Asset, Debt to Asset Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Time Interest Earned, Working Capital Turn Over, Fixed Asset Turn Over, Receivable Turn Over, Total Asset Turn Over, Inventory Turn Over, Cash Turn Over, Net Profit Margin, Operating Profit Margin, Gross Profit Margin, Return On Equity, Return On Asset, Return On Investment, Earning Per Share. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah analisis diskriminan. Hasil Uji Diskriminan menggunakan metode stepwise dapat diperoleh variabel yang terpilih menjadi variabel diskriminator yaitu variable Debt to Equity Ratio, Return On Equity, dan Earning Per Share sehingga terbentuk fungsi diskriminan sebagai berikut : R = - 3.197 + 0.292 Debt to Equity Ratio + 0.342 Return On Equity + 0.336 Earning Per Share Nilai cut off pada penelitian ini adalah 0 dengan ketepatan prediksi 75 % pada perusahaan jasa tidak sehat dan 73.3% pada perusahaan jasa sehat dengan tingkat akurasi yang terbentuk sebesar 76.7% pada perusahaan jasa sektor perdagangan eceran. Kata Kunci : Kebangkrutan, Perusahaan Retail, Rasio Keuangan, Multiple Discriminant Analisis (MDA).
| Item Type: | Thesis (S2) |
|---|---|
| NIM/NIDN Creators: | 55117120014 |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Kebangkrutan, Perusahaan Retail, Rasio Keuangan, Multiple Discriminant Analisis (MDA). |
| Subjects: | 300 Social Science/Ilmu-ilmu Sosial > 330 Economics/Ilmu Ekonomi 300 Social Science/Ilmu-ilmu Sosial > 330 Economics/Ilmu Ekonomi > 338 Production, Industrial Economics/Produksi, Ekonomi Industri 300 Social Science/Ilmu-ilmu Sosial > 330 Economics/Ilmu Ekonomi > 338 Production, Industrial Economics/Produksi, Ekonomi Industri > 338.4 Secondary Industries and Services/Industri dan Jasa Sekunder |
| Divisions: | Pascasarjana > Magister Manajemen |
| Depositing User: | Dede Muksin Lubis |
| Date Deposited: | 22 Oct 2021 03:57 |
| Last Modified: | 03 Jul 2023 06:02 |
| URI: | http://repository.mercubuana.ac.id/id/eprint/49827 |
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