Pengujian Model CAPM Dengan Pendekatan First Dan Second Pass Regression Pada Kelompok Saham Jakarta Islamic Index

Rizal, Syamsul (2010) Pengujian Model CAPM Dengan Pendekatan First Dan Second Pass Regression Pada Kelompok Saham Jakarta Islamic Index. S2 thesis, Universitas Mercu Buana Jakarta-Menteng.

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Abstract

Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is model that is formed to explain how does price from asset determined. By using assume that investor is risk averse. Beta (CAPM) is risk level size a security in market portfolio, it is already diversified perfectly. The purposed for empirically proving by Author, model CAPM can available in group share JII, at the real market? And whether is in outdoor Beta (β) influential to return emitted share? The testing is done based on data for 2007-2008 in share group JII. The analysis method is conducted through regretting model CAPM with the way first and second pass regression. The result that is got beta belong value not significant, although the beta value is nor zero (β ≠ 0). It is mean that the share return JII cannot predict the return market (index JII). So CAPM model cannot predict yet return share value t+1 that be got. There is the other factor out of beta value that is proved from it variant error value is not same zero. Suggestion that can be taken for next researcher and investor is suggested the importance to look for economy macro index and the other economy micro in the usage this model CAPM. So it can be used as variable purpose to predict return share in the future.Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) merupakan model yang dibentuk untuk menjelaskan variasi bagaimana harga dari asset-aset ditentukan. Dengan mengamsusikan bahwa investor merupakan risk averse. Beta (CAPM) merupakan ukuran tingkat risiko suatu sekuritas dalam market portofolio, yang sudah terdiversivikasi secara sempurna. Penulis bertujuan membuktikan secara empiris,model CAPM dapat berlaku pada saham kelompok JII, pada pasar sebenarnya? dan apakah diluar beta (β) berpengaruh terhadap return saham emiten? Pengujian dilakukan berdasarkan data tahun 2007-2008 pada kelompok saham JII. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah dengan mengregresikan model CAPM melalui cara first dan second pass regression. Hasil yang diperoleh beta bernilai tidak signifikan, meskipun nilai beta yang diperoleh tidak sama dengan nol (β≠0). Artinya return saham JII tidak dapat memprediksi return pasar (index JII). Sehingga model CAPM belum dapat memprediksi nilai return saham t+1 yang akan diperoleh. Bahwa ada faktor lain diluar nilai beta, yaitu terbukti dari nilai varian errornya tidak sama dengan nol.Saran yang dapat diambil bagi peneliti dan investor berikutnya disarankan perlunya mencari indeks makro ekonomi dan mikro ekonomi dalam lainnya dalam penggunaan model CAPM ini. Sehingga dapat digunakan sebagai variabel dalam memprediksi return saham pada masa yang akan datang.

Item Type: Thesis (S2)
Call Number CD: CDT-553-10-224
NIM/NIDN Creators: 55107020002
Uncontrolled Keywords: MKU, MANAJEMEN KEUANGAN
Subjects: 600 Technology/Teknologi > 650 Management, Public Relations, Business and Auxiliary Service/Manajemen, Hubungan Masyarakat, Bisnis dan Ilmu yang Berkaitan > 658 General Management/Manajemen Umum
Divisions: Pascasarjana > Magister Manajemen
Depositing User: Admin Perpus UMB
Date Deposited: 10 Mar 2011 11:10
Last Modified: 14 Jul 2022 07:00
URI: http://repository.mercubuana.ac.id/id/eprint/38240

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